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| haxxiy said: Excess deaths might not be an exact metric since we have more people dying from stroke and cardiac arrest, and deaths increase yearly on their own accord in developed countries as their populations age. 2015 had 80,000 less deaths, and 2019 had 62,000 deaths above the 2015-2019 average, for instance. So the US would have some 90,000 "excess" deaths above the 2015-2019 average all along in normal circumstances.
The time of illness onset to death is about 10 days on average. It might be slightly over 2 weeks counting incubation. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6928e1.htm Also that France number is because they randomly account for non-hospital deaths all at once occasionaly. That's why they had peaks of over 2,000 daily deaths in the first wave. Situation's bad over there but not that bad. |
The difference is, the first wave everything was still an unknown. The second wave we knew full well that it was coming. All the deaths caused during the second wave were preventable. Let's see how many deaths those 3 months of all the way back to normal were worth.
To switch back to that earlier story about 4 babies being denied heart surgery due to travel restrictions in Australia. Australia was pretty much rid of the virus, then due to lax travel and quarantine restrictions a new wave broke out that infected about 20,000 people and cost nearly 900 lives.
Europe had its lowest Covid-19 death toll between Aug 21-28, 2,118 for that week.
Had they maintained that, Europe would now have been at 226.0K deaths. (or less since it was declining)
Europe is currently at 261.7K. 35,700 deaths that could have been prevented so far.
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