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JWeinCom said:
haxxiy said:

Ohio is a tossup in the polls and Texas a lean or tilt Republican. But if anything, I'm thinking Texas is more likely to flip this year than Ohio.

Florida and North Carolina will count all votes on election night too I believe. If Trump loses both, he's 100% toast, unless somehow he takes the entire Rust Belt plus Nevada and New Hampshire. So, no waiting for Pennsylvania or whatever.

They can start counting mail in ballots before election night. Doesn't necessarily mean they'll have them all counted by election night.

Sure. But you could say the same about in-person election day votes and provisional ballots. That doesn't mean almost all of them won't have been counted late in the night already, since the ballot deadline is also November 3rd. Also, inferences that will be made based on exit polls and the numbers from bellwether counties when the press decides to call the outcome etc.

Unless you're expecting a 2000-like situation there.