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Fei-Hung said:

The first signs is MS screwing the pooch will come when games like Doom, Dishonoured, Wolfenstein become second tier releases with smaller budgets and teams or get shelved all together.

Did Forza Horizon 4 become a second tier release with smaller budget and team due to its release day one on GamePass? No, it was bigger and better than ever and got high praise from both critics and users. And due to its small entry fee (GamePass), it will keep popularity much longer, which is important for the online part (many players online to race with).

Did Gears 5 become a second tier release with smaller budget and team due to its release day one on GamePass? No, it was a great game and got high praise from both critics and users (Gears 4 had a much worse user score). And there ain't any indication that Gears 6 will become a second tier release with smaller budget and team.

Did Ori 2 become a second tier release with smaller budget and team due to its release day one on GamePass? No, it was much bigger than Ori 1 and got high praise from both critics and users.

Will the next Forza Motorsport become a second tier release with smaller budget and team due to its release day one on GamePass? Obviously not. If Microsoft wanted an easy cash grab, they would have released it as a launch title with minor improvements instead of giving it more time and budget for a "true nextgen experience".