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Minecraft is basically the only game that has a shot at rivalling MH Rise for best selling third party title on Switch I reckon.
I'm sure plenty of other thirds will do well, but portable MH is a colossus in Japan, and the IP's never been more popular in the West thanks to World. Provided they give it a proper advertising push both in Japan and abroad, its potential is immense.

Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.