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SvennoJ said:
Comparable to the flu again?

CDC estimates about 56,000 Americans die from the flu each year. Covid-19 already claimed over 219,000 lives in the USA, that with maybe 10% infected.

The highest estimate for Flu world wide seems to be 650K
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6815659/
Worldwide over 1 million have already died from Covid-19 while only 10% (might) have had it.

Overall CFR is very comparably with 0.15% (probably higher in the beginning) but Covid deaths are extremely clustered with many countries never having a first wave to begin with. Most European countries (in particular Eastern Europe), many Asian countries, most of Africa etc. never had any visible excess mortality. The US itself was extremely clustered with NYC being a massive center while many of the smaller states had quite low deaths per million. Example:

Vermont: 93 deaths per million

NJ/NYC: 1838 deaths per million

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Last edited by numberwang - on 14 October 2020