Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[numberwang]

Mnementh said:

numberwang said:

WHO says that 10% or 780 million have been infected so far (compared to 36 million positive pcr tests and 1 million 'covid involved death')

1. Global CFR is 0.14% and thus comparable to the flu. Considering that CFR was probably higher at the beginning, it is now lower than 0.14% and will continue to drop.

2. Testing random people was completely useless, missing >95% of covid anyway.

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2020/10/05/world-health-organization-10-world-population-mightve-had-covid/3622678001/

You can't use a guesstimate for cases and compare it to confirmed deaths. You would also have to guesstimate deaths. We know about Bergamo at least, that only about one fourth of deaths reached official statistics. That may be similar in other regions. The real number of deaths is higher than 1M.

Covid deaths are probably overestimated considering the inflated method of counting every deaths with a positive pcr test regardless of underlying conditions. Many countries have too many 'covid deaths' with not enough total excess mortality as a match. Total global infections is based on antibody tests and should be quite reliable.

The US is again predicted to be back at baseline total mortality (graph ends October 3) even though we still have many 'covid involved death' papers.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Last edited by numberwang - on 14 October 2020