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I voted 80-89.9m, but I might be too generous even with that prediction.  While some people will own multiple systems, the single system owners are going to mostly go to the Switch.  Those who are extremely price sensitive will probably go to some form of Gamepass, as will most Bethesda fans.  I think Sony's going to have a real hard time this generation.

Bonus: VR will probably do marginally better on PS5, but I don't expect it to ever go fully mainstream.