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In most years, 35% to 55% of console hardware is sold from October 1st to January 31st. In the first 6 months of the year the Wii has sold (roughly) 9 Million systems, and is on pace to have sold between 21 Million and 30 Million consoles this year. This would put the Wii's total at between 39 Million and 48 Million by January 1st 2009. Personally, I think the Wii will fall somewhat in the middle of those at between 42 Million and 45 Million.