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I really don't know how this is going to turn out.  It's unclear to me if their focus on Gamepass will help or hurt XBox hardware sales.  I voted "less than 30m" mostly because I'm guessing it will hurt hardware sales.  Gamepass subs will probably be a lot more than 30m once the generation comes to an end, but that doesn't mean that Gamepass members have to play on a XBox console.