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It all depends on how the Switch performs against the next gen consoles, specifically the holiday seasons. Even if it takes a month less or more than your estimate, its still insanely impressive. There's people that argue that Switch has had it easier, having to battle back end of a generation instead of directly competing start to finish... Weak argument to me as the PS4 still outsold Switch in 2017/2018. Btw, PS2 was the epitome of consistency, it sold incredibly well in its 6-10th years