I predict 10 million PS5 shipped by March 2021

[The_Liquid_Laser]

xl-klaudkil said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

I think people are overestimating the PS5 in general.  However, the OP may be right about March 2021, because that still isn't long after launch.  PS5 launch will be successful, because every system appears successful at launch.  Even the Wii U was in short supply when it launched.  However, if we are going to talk about year end 2021, I think it will be pretty obvious by that point that PS5 is just not going to sell like PS4.  I actually voted 7m in the poll, because I know PS5 support is going to wane pretty quickly, but March 2021 may be a little too quick.  We'll just have to wait and see.

Can you explain why ps5 support will wane?

If everything comes out the way it says, ps5 is going to have the biggest first year ever with gt7,horizon 2 AND god of war ragnarok

In spite of the conventional wisdom, Switch is in fact competing with the PS5.  A fair amount of PS4/XB1 players won't buy a PS5, because they are playing their Switch instead.  On top of that the world is going through a significant recession.  This is especially bad in the US.  People will still play video games, but they will prefer the cheapest current system, which is the Switch.

Obviously it is not difficult to find people online who want a PS5, but I think most people here are overestimating the actual demand when it comes to sales.  I expect the enthusiastic fans to get a PS5 around launch but then demand will not grow like it did for the PS4.  I expect to sell it more like the PS3.