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The_Liquid_Laser said:

Basically, the common wisdom is that the next generation wll always be like the current state of the market, although a large player entering the market can change things.  In making these assumptions, the analysis is usually wrong.  And yet analysts make these assumptions every single time.  This is why I am laughing to myself about everyone expecting the PS5 to do great.  It probably won't.  People are just seeing that the PS4 did well and so assume the PS5 will do well.  If history is any indication, the safe bet is against the PS5.

The difference is the gen 7 predictions were made before Sony screwed up while now there isn't really any opportunity left for them to screw up and that combined with the PS5 getting positive reception and more attention than the Series X/S is strong evidence I think for gen 9 to be similar but with the PS5 maybe doing somewhat worse and the Series X/S somewhat better since Microsoft isn't screwing up nearly as hard this time.