Sales Discussion - August NPD 2020: Switch 504k, PS4 197k, XBO 45k - View Post

I always wanted to know how these games ranked if we were comparing physical sales only.  I did some math, including some linear interpolations to fill in the blanks.  Of course, that means what I came up with is an estimate, but I think it gives a more accurate ranking than what the NPD supplied us originally.

August US Rank by Physical Sales Only
(Revenue and Unit Sales are in thousands.)

 Rank Game Leaked Interp. Rev. Unit Sales Price Revenue Unit Rank 1 Madden NFL 21 Y 18,300 305 60 18,300 1 2 Animal Crossing: New Horizons Y 10,740 179 60 10,740 2 3 UFC 4 N 16,410 159 60 9,518 3 4 Ring Fit Adventure N 9,270 116 80 9,270 7 5 COD: Modern Warfare N 14,520 140 60 8,422 4 6 Mario Kart 8 Deluxe Y 7,800 130 60 7,800 5 7 Ghost of Tsushima Y 12,630 122 60 7,320 6 8 Super Smash Bros Ultimate N 6,240 104 60 6,240 9 9 Paper Mario Y 4,680 78 60 4,680 11 10 Zelda: Breath of the Wild N 3,901 65 60 3,901 13 11 PGA Tour 2k21 N 3,242 54 60 3,242 15 12 NSMB U Deluxe N 3,105 52 60 3,105 16 13 Super Mario Party N 2,968 49 60 2,968 17 14 Super Mario Odyssey N 2,693 45 60 2,693 18 15 Mortal Kombat 11 N 4,296 100 25 2,492 10 16 Luigi’s Mansion 3 N 2,418 40 60 2,418 20 17 GTA 5 Y 2,268 108 21 2,268 8 18 TLOU2 Y 3,517 34 60 2,040 19 19 Minecraft PS4 N 3,380 65 30 1,960 14 20 T.C. Rainbow Six: Siege N 2,830 82 20 1,641 12 21 FF7 Remake N 2,555 25 60 1,482 21

Explanation of table and methodology:

Rank - this is based on revenue of physical only sales (based on my estimates).

Interp. Rev. - This is revenue based on linear interpolation.  I calculated the revenue of physical sales of the games that were leaked.  To fill in the missing spots, I made a straight line and filled in the amounts between the known values.  Also, based on this and the ratio of physical/total sales of Ghosts of Tsushima I assumed 58% of sales were physical on all games that included both physical and digital.  If you sort this column, then you will get the original ranking given by NPD.  Also GTA5 will be rank 21 if you do this, since it is not only the original NPD table.

Price - Usually \$60 is used.  If a game is significantly cheaper or discounted then I used the price on Amazon rounded to the nearest dollar.  (if there is a game I missed that is \$30 or less then let me know and I'll adjust the table.  I didn't look up every game.)

Revenue - This is the calculated revenue of physical only sales.

Unit Rank - This is where the game would rank if the table were sorted by unit sales instead of revenue.

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 14 September 2020