RolStoppable said:
Nope, not in Japan. Worldwide would be a different story, but Japan has been good for Switch since its launch. 2020 will bring Switch's LTD to at least 17.5m by the end of the year and that's difficult to top when so many people already own a Switch. You have to remember that the 3DS had three ~5m years in the beginning and then dropped to a good 3m in 2014 despite the launch of the New 3DS and New 3DS XL. Said hardware launch was also accompanied by Monster Hunter 4; worth mentioning, because a few people have already talked about Monster Hunter as a key factor in driving Switch hardware sales in 2021. Switch getting closer to saturation is why I think that a new hardware model in 2021 will be mandatory to get above 5m for the year. But the 6m+ to be up year over year are out of reach. |
I'm curious, what do you consider to be the point where saturation is certain? Sales data wise, the saturation point for the 3ds and DS were 15 million and 20 million, respectively. Personally, I think saturation is certain generally after the system's second year after its peak.
