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Switch is currently up 92% YoY which is incredible.  Switch got a significant sales spike last year at week 38.  So if we apply a 92% increase up to week 37 and then flat the rest of the year, Switch sales will be 26.8m.  I would call this the floor on Switch sales at this point, because it is very likely Switch will be up YoY after week 38.  

The real limiter at this point seems to be Nintendo's production capabilities.  They amount they are going to sell is mostly limited by what they are able to ship.