Shadow1980 said:
Name specific examples that weren't a self-admitted error on my part. As for my earlier post, I honestly looked at the wrong data point when calculating. I thought the 2019 yearly figure was my initial projection for 2020 (I was dog tired at the time and wasn't focused). Had I noticed my error before I posted, I would have put in that 7.5+ figure.
I base my claims on two observable facts: 1) the observed YoY increase in April was not considerably higher than the observed increase with the PS4 & XBO, and 2) aside from the highly unusual circumstance of FF7 on the PS1, there has never been a single game to create detectable increases in sales for a period exceeding two months in the U.S. The biggest system sellers have produced a significant bump in launch month, a much more reduced increase in the next month, and nothing after that. For all that we can tell from the entire history of the console market in the U.S., nearly everybody that buys a system for a particular game does so within a month or two of that game's release. No game has ever produced YoY gains like that for four or five consecutive months. Given all of that, I believe the burden of proof is on those claiming that the primary driver of the YoY increases in Switch sales was Animal Crossing. |
It's actually pretty easy to prove:
If people were buying a Switch for a different reason you'd probably see it higher than Animal Crossing.
Also regarding your opinion on Switch demand slowing down.. you do realize the retail price is $299 and it's being resold from anywhere between $344.99 to $400... yeah that's demand not being met by Nintendo.
Finally, Animal Crossing hasn't even had its first major holiday. Like I said all your doomsaying is just what we've been hearing from uninformed people about the Switch and it's demand since it launched.. overall it's just wishful thinking and I would recommend you start to use some critical thinking instead.
