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RolStoppable said:
DonFerrari said:

It is 2 months. Switch launched March 3rd so for two full months on fiscal weeks would be May 3rd, not sure what mind fart I did to put June there.

About the holiday launch, you know that Switch didn't sell more on launch because it was out of inventory. It did in fact had basically a launch and holiday period while the other 2 had both together. If you sum March+April for Sony and MS with their launch versus Switch launch+1st holiday it is clear that it benefited Switch.

Eh, Switch sells better than the PS4 in general. It did so in year 1, year 2, year 3 and will do so again in the current year 4, so assigning the year 1 win to a non-holiday launch is a bit reaching.

If a non-holiday launch would be inherently beneficial, then both Sony and Microsoft would have targeted that with their upcoming consoles, but there has never been any word (be it official or rumored) that a non-holiday launch was ever in consideration by either one of them.

Yes launch aligned Switch have sold more than PS4, but not in any way similar to the difference of switch launch window+holidays versus PS4 launch + first march and april. And again if there was more inventory PS4 and Switch would have sold more on launch, showing that for launch it being on holiday doesn't necessarily improve sales that much.

It is beneficial to launch as early as possible, if holiday would be so much better then why didn't Nintendo wait for Holiday in 2017 to launch? Sony had released outside of holiday in the past. And you can bet that if Nintendo could have launched on Holiday 2016 they would have, but that is because they would like to launch earlier than later.

UnderwaterFunktown said:
Like you said yourself even the Xbone despite the controversy that haunted it at the time sold more than the Switch in its first two months, so its very hard to imagine a scenario where both of the new consoles don't do the same.

If you want specific predictions I'll say:
PS5 - 5,6 mil (assuming it launches in Japan right away unlike the PS4)
Series X - 3,7 mil

If inventory is there both can possibly outsell it.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."