| numberwang said: We can see an uptick in "positive cases" (not even people with visible symptoms) because of increased testing in high population countries. Covid-19 as a lethal disease has disappeared in the EU (the US is maybe one or two months behind with many states like NY already at herd immunity)
No excess deaths in the western EU in the last 3 months. More cases with fewer deaths means increased herd immunity.
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Where do you get the idea of herd immunity? Less deaths doesn't mean herd immunity at all.
What happened is that those more at risk and the elderly are actually taken precautions, basically have been hiding for the past 5 months like us. The average age of infected people has dropped dramatically while treatment has also gotten better. Less people with severe symptoms and better options for those that need help. Mobility trends are still far below normal, many people are working from home or lost their job. Masks are helping and more frequently used. However Covid-19 is on the rise again in Europe and keeps popping back up everywhere else as well. Even Italy is increasing again, no herd immunity.
The only reason we're not at millions of deaths is because of actions taken. People are not as stupid as their governments and those at risk do look out for themselves. Deaths are still on the rise world wide, over 40K last week, 752K total as of yesterday, still a 2.4% CFR. Europe's CFR is 1.7% atm.
