I don't think they are gonna ship enough to Japan to do that. If they did ship enough I think they'd need a Japan mega-seller coming out this holiday because without that I think if suddenly 4+ million Switches hit Japan in the final 4 months of the year you would have some still sitting on the shelves by year's end. I think there will be one or two big games coming this holiday but I don't think there's gonna be another 3+ million Japan seller hitting this holiday.
I think the Switch might hit like 7.1 million if Nintendo puts that much stock in Japan this year, but I don't see that extra million happening.
Now if Nintendo announces an awesome new 2D Mario plus a Nintendogs game that Japan gets hyped about, plus another Ring Fit game for the holiday and Nintendo says that have massively upped their hardware production this year and plan on making sure there are no shortages in Japan over the holidays then alright I'd say there's a chance, but I doubt all those things are gonna happen.
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