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It was always likely to outsell Xbox by at least a bit. Now with Halo delayed it definitely will. I don't think that will hurt Xbox's launch sales as much as some do, though. Core fans will likely sell out both consoles at launch regardless of what software is immediately available. The more telling metric will be the window after the holidays but before Halo releases. That's when I think Microsoft will feel the sting of their ill prepared software launch. How long it lasts will depend on how long it takes for their showcased titles to deliver.