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tbone51 said:
Also quick note to make, since I notice something wrong with my prediction



my prediction from before (in OP)
Tbone5189 prediction ACNH (shipment+Digital)
Q1 4200k
Q2 2800k (yes I’m serious)
Q3 500k
Q4 800k
Y1 8300k (surpassing Pokémon RG)

I had put 7mil by end of June, it was surpassed by 150k to make it 7.15mil. Without bundles it seems like it’s selling weekly somewhere in the 40k-50k range. But the bundle is keeping it afloat.

I had originally put Q3 for 500k followed by holiday 800k. To make it 8.3mil for years end. July has proven already that my Q3 prediction is pessimistic as hell to my surprise. ACNH will be closer to 1mil by end of sept, so 800k+ is to be expected. I’ll have to revise my prediction now lol

Q1 3800K

Q2 3300K

Now Q3 pacing for double your prediction.  Less front-loaded but more leggy than you expected.

Also, JP share of WW actually went down from Q1 > Q2 (32.^% > 31.1%).  If that continues this next quarter we're looking at ~5M WW.