IcaroRibeiro said:
Well, it's better having a new outbreak every 3 months than being locked in a pandemic forever (like in Brazil now) |
Trying to keep it under controll is the right way to go.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=23vJ0CME8BI
UK has had 308k confirmed cases, and through antibody tests they estiamte around 2,800,000 cases in total (potentially).
Offically they have so far had ~46,300 deaths to covid19.
This puts its case fatality rate at ~15%, and its IFR (infections fatality rate) at 1,65%.
However factor in the total "death certificats with covid19" (~55,800 deaths) or "excess deaths for the year" (~64,000+), and end up with a IFR ~1,99% or 2,25%.
Now wtih 70% infection rate to reach herd immunity, and potentially a 2,25% IFR.
Things look grim, even if you with medicine can reduce fatality rates by like a 1/3.
(thats only if you have enough medicine, and bed spaces in the hospitals)
People should stop downplaying the virus.
On top of this, what about the millions of people that wont die, but will have permanent lunge/kidney/heart damage?
Virus needs to be kept under controll until a vaccine is out.
