I'm not all that trusting of my own government either here in Ontario. Looking at the data we suddenly have a sharp drop after a period of rising cases without any real reason to suddenly go from +50% week over week to -40% week over week. Such big swings don't usually happen.
However as soon as it dropped below 100 cases for a day, phase 3 openings announced for Toronto and Peel region (this Friday)
Today, back to school plans laid out for September (not satisfactory, doesn't sound very safe)
Meanwhile pending tests has risen to 28K, quite a bit behind, while it was down to less than 2K pending a week ago.
Fun fact, schools had to close when the numbers of cases per day were a lot lower than they are now, so why re-open them lol. Grade 4 and up will wear face masks to school (except during lunch). That will stop it!
It's still over a month before the next school year starts, things could go either way. However if the infections follow the mobility trends, they will go up. It's still there, hasn't been suppressed yet. Meanwhile Japan and Australia are exploding again, and even China is going up sharply. Europe continues to climb back up as well.
But good news we're falling for the American numbers
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/2nd-u-s-virus-surge-hits-plateau-but-few-experts-celebrate-1.5046354
Reported deaths however, 3-day average over 1400! May 20th level.