| vivster said: There could be another factor aside from the obvious intentional manipulation. They might have reached a certain limit in testing. Numbers can't go up if tests are getting backed up and there is only a fixed number of them to be processed each day. Sure, after a while you will still see increases in numbers via an increased positivity rate but that increase is just way smaller than if you increased testing, which the US has done over the past weeks. In any way we can be sure that while the numbers are plateauing the actual cases are most likely still going up. |
That's what I though at first, yet they are actually going down atm
The last 4 weeks compared:
July 22 +71967 July 15 +71670 July 08 +61848 July 01 +51097
July 23 +69116 July 16 +73388 July 09 +61067 July 02 +57236
July 24 +78009 July 17 +74987 July 10 +71787 July 03 +54904
July 25 +67413 July 18 +63259 July 11 +61719 July 04 +45182
July 26 +56130 July 19 +65279 July 12 +58349 July 05 +44530
July 27 +61571 July 20 +62879 July 13 +65488 July 06 +50771
July 28 +64729 July 21 +67140 July 14 +65594 July 07 +55856
Total 468,935 478,602 445,852 359,576
Numbers don't go down when testing limits are reached, they either plateau or still creep up slightly due to the positivity rate increasing.
It could still be reduced testing, I'm not tracking the actual tests per day. It looks like the USA is doing a bit over 800K tests a day currently.
This suggests both a (slight) decline in testing yet also a decline in positivity rate
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states
Wait and see how it develops. It's hard to believe in coincidences, different reporting method coinciding with a decline in reported cases. However the change is still pretty small and reported deaths seem unaffected so far, a new high yesterday 1245, highest since May 27th.
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