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okr said:
Sony sold 9.2 million PS4s in Japan compared to 23.2 million PS2s.

Do these sources really think the largest PS ever will be "big in Japan"? Because for such an estimation to come true you’d need Japan.

The PS2 in Japan was 19,900 Yen by year 3, the PS4, like the PS3 never approached those prices.  If the PS4 retailed for 19,900 Yen in 2017, do you think sales would be higher?