| The_Liquid_Laser said: I really think 8m in Japan for PS5 is too optimistic. Japanese people do not want first Sony first party games like Uncharted or God of War. Spider-Man is probably the most popular first party game that they have for Japan. That just leaves third party games, and PS5 is going to get very few third party exclusives. Only games which are bigger in the west like Final Fantasy will end up as third party exclusives, and even then Japanese studios have to seriously evaluate if they want to alienate their own country's fan base. A third party game on the Switch can sell well both in Japan and overseas. A third party game on the PS5 will only sell well overseas. Very few Japanese people are going to want an expensive home console that sits there and collects dust, because they mostly only have time to play a portable system. Total sales for PS5 is going to largely depend on how much money Sony and/or Nintendo throw at Capcom. If Nintendo makes Monster Hunter a Switch exclusive (unlikely), then I can see PS5 selling as low as 4m, which is a little above Wii U levels. If Sony makes MH a PS5 exclusive (slightly more likely), then PS5 might go as high as 7m. If MH is multiplat (most likely), then PS5 will probably end up in the 5m-6m range. MH was really the game that helped the PSP and killed the Vita, and Sony and Nintendo might continue to make offers to Capcom to decide the fate of the home market in Japan as well. On the other hand Sony seems to be giving up on Japan and Nintendo is already winning there without MH. If Capcom doesn't get money thrown at them, then going multiplat with MH would be the best move. PS5 sells somewhere in the 4m-7m range depending on MH. |
PS5 will get more meaningful third party exclusives than the SW in Japan. Not only that but JP third party games do incredibly well on PS4 so third parties will be more than happy to continue with the PS5.
MHW became Capcoms best selling game of all time, outselling every single nintendo entry combined, all with one game and expansion. MHW2 will be on PS5 and unlikely on SW due to how weak it is.
| Shaunodon said: The only delusional one in this thread is the person blindly believing PS5 will magically inherit PS3/PS4's market share, as if the declining interest for traditional home consoles in Japan isn't already obvious. SMTIII selling 300k isn't that hard to see however, considering SMTIV alone wasn't that far off on 3DS. SMTIII has never been on a Nintendo system, never been portable, is generally more well regarded/remembered than SMTIV, and is releasing on a system with more interest/momentum behind it than the 3DS, even if sales looks to be comparable in the region with 3DS more frontloaded. |
Oh look another delusional poster thinking a PS2 port will sell 300k on SW lmao
Not sure why you are comparing a new mainline game to a PS2 port but I guess you need some mental gymnastics to justify the delusions.
| MasonADC said: PS4 broke a lot of records regarding software, but anyone can see that those same games next iterations will probably have a decline, in japan and worldwide. It wouldn’t make sense for any game that isn’t top tier in graphics to not be on the market leader |
Yeah sure, just like how those PS4 entries were probably going to decline and yet PS4 software sales resulted in them breaking records.
