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It feels like a perfect storm is brewing for September :/
Phase 3 re-openings started last Friday except for Toronto which will likely follow next week.
Last 2 days cases have been up again already (from phase 2?) 3-day average +18% compared to a week ago.
The average age of infected people has dropped dramatically
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/lockdown-fatigue-invincibility-causing-more-covid-19-infections-in-young-people-1.5030197
More young people are being infected with COVID-19, creating the potential for a severe outbreak, scientists warn. Numbers from the Public Health Agency of Canada show that during the second week of July, the largest proportion of new cases reported -- 22 per cent of female cases and 28 per cent of male cases -- was among the 20-29 age group.
"If we start to see an increase in the younger age category there's no doubt that it'll eventually spread from the parent to the grandparent, and it can have severe impacts on older populations." McBean said his message for public health officials is to keep daycares and schools closed. "We're on a very fine line as it is right now in Ontario. So, we just have to be very careful in that number doesn't start to creep up again and be above one," McBean said.
While children under 10 are half as likely to spread the virus, those over 10 are just as effective in spreading the virus
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/children-over-age-10-spread-covid-19-as-much-as-adults-study-finds-1.5030231
The study, released Thursday by the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, reported that children up to age 10 spread COVID-19 much less than adults do. However, children aged 10 to 19 were just as likely as adults to transmit the virus to someone else.
And this is what the largest school board in Ontario came up with (Toronto)
https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/a-look-at-back-to-school-plans-at-canada-s-largest-school-board-1.5030289
Option 1: Regular-length school days with no more than 15 students per class across the board. Bird says this option would cost the most, with the board needing $249 million to hire about 2,500 extra teachers. Bird described this approach as "not that financially feasible."
Option 2: Same class sizes, but with the school day shortened by 48 minutes to allow teachers to have some prep time at the end of the day. Bird said this model would lower the cost to $98 million.
Option 3: A full-day model with two different sizes of class cohorts -- a maximum of 15 for students in kindergarten to Grade 3 and cohorts of 20 for Grade 4 and up. Bird estimates the board would need to hire 1,900 teachers at a cost of $190 million if this plan goes ahead.
Option 4: Same mixed class sizes, but with the school day shortened by 48 minutes. Bird pegs the cost of hiring 200 teachers to support this approach at about $20 million.
Option 5: Resuming pre-pandemic class sizes, but with additional, unspecified health and safety protocols. Bird said this approach is the one the borad currently favours.
"We want all of our students back, and if we can do it in regular class sizes, we think that is ideal just from a mental health and well-being and learning aspect," he said. "Having said that, we know that the health and safety of our students and staff is the number one priority, so we have to make sure that whatever option is implemented ... is safe to do so."
It's all about the money, money... Additional unspecified health and safety protocols, yup I feel totally safe now sending my kids back to school. They still got a bit over a month to figure things out.
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