| Bofferbrauer2 said: Not so sure about that. Here in Luxembourg, the numbers have been rising for over a month now, with peaks of over 100 cases in a day. Yet the hospitalizations are growing much slower than they did during the first wave, the number of people in ICU have stayed below 5 and we only got a single new dead, an 89 year old man, since the numbers have gone up again. By comparison, during the first wave at a similar moment in time (similar number of infected on a 7-day average), we already had 6 deaths, 7 persons in ICU and over 120 persons in standard care compared to 35 today. The latter is especially striking, since originally the number of hospitalized people shot up very fast, but this time around it's a very slow increase, so much that the numbers from Friday are just 2 more than last Sunday. In other words, the low numbers may very well be legit. Either the virus got weaker or treatments have improved enough to keep the number of deaths very low. Also, don't forget that there's a delay between infections and deaths. |
What I'm getting at was this weird decline
Spain stopped reporting deaths for a couple weeks then came back much lower. Different way of counting deaths I guess.
The big difference with the first wave is that the more vulnerable part of the population is doing their part to isolate and the average age of those infected has dropped dramatically. Yet as long as the younger population doesn't do their part, the more vulnerable are screwed to stay isolated. Still young people die as well as the reported deaths have shown in the USA, climbing again.
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