| JRPGfan said: How many of these threads do we need? This is like the 3rd of its kinde in like a week or something... |
How many times will people make the same lowballing predictions based on faulty reasoning?
| PAOerfulone said: FY1 2.74mil - 2.74 million FY2 15.05mil - 17.79 million FY3 16.95mil - 34.74 million FY4 21.03mil - 55.77 million FY5 (03/21) 25.00mil - 80.77 million FY6 (03/22) 21.00 million - 101.77 million (Breath of the Wild 2 + Price cut: $150 - Switch Lite; $250 Hybrid) FY7 (03/23) 17.00mil - 118.77 million (Hardware revision + Pokémon Gen 9) FY8 (03/24) 12.00mil - 130.77 million (Switch 2 releases) FY9 (03/25) 4.00mil - 134.77 million FY10 (03/26) 1.50mil - 136.27 million (Hardware discontinued) FY11 and beyond - 0.30mil - 136.57 million Final - 136.57 million units |
I like these numbers, but I wonder what the potential gain is with a big Mario Kart 9 release in the next year or two.
| Hiku said: I tend to avoid predicting sales trends several years into the future, as that results in more guesswork with less available knowledge of factors like software releases. |
I don't know how that affects Switch when it's not nearly that reliant on third party software. And despite certain people repeating the fallacy of, 'Nintendo mentioned a succesor so it must be coming soon!', the only time they talk about a future system is when discussing the extra longevity they plan to give Switch. So we know all their development will still be focused on this one system for a considerable amount of time yet.
Really isn't that difficult at all to predict potential software output between now and likely late 2024, when you just consider all the teams Nintendo have under their umbrella, along with studios they're closely associated with.
