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Wyrdness on 14 July 2020
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JRPGfan said:

Well my logic would be past nintendo consoles have done so.
But if your saying "thats not logical" because its hybrid...   I just dont think it goes that high.

The Nintendo DS is the only console nintendo has had thats gone that high.
It started out at 149$, and dropped down to like 99$ at one point right?

The switch is more epensive, I'm not convinced it can do a DS in terms of sales.

Part of the reason, DS and to some degree 3DS did so well.... was the lower prices, and people collecting multiple DS/3DS models.
So out of the 150m/75m sales, a good degree of those, are people owning 2-5 models. Plus parents buying each of their kids their own unit.

Also:
Switch is more a "shared" console, because you can hook it up to a tv, and kids can both play, hell they can even share the joy-cons (1 for each).
Stuff like that probably does have a minimal impact on sales (less reason to buy multiple units in a household).

Maybe if theres a newer improved switch model, that goes for cheaper, that makes current switch owners want to get a newer model?

The are people who buy Switch Lites for their kids or themselves so they don't have to share it's one reason the Lite did so well when Pokemon and AC arrived so where are you getting this notion that no household will have more than one from?

Being more expensive doesn't really stop any chance of it happening Switch is going to catch and possibly over take the 3DS by the end of this year, less than 4 full years, with out a price cut and with a higher price point and the latter has been on the market for 9 years I can't remember any platform get this far while doing this well with out a price cut and it's because it's not had one that sales potential has a potential to increase or retain momentum in the second half of its life because it's still an option. It being on the market for another possible 5 years like the 3DS did puts the LT sales range on the higher end, like it was pointed out to someone earlier it may very well be at around 90m by the end of September 2021 at the current pace and Nintendo averages 9-10m in the holiday period.

This means it's effectively going into 2022 with 100m being a very easy barrier to cross the NS could have a few years of selling only 10m after 2021 it'll still pass GB numbers.