tbone51 said:
JRPGfan said:
Does the Switch have another 60-70m sales left in it.... PS4 is going over 130m imo.
Its a tough question, it *might* get close.
Switch has had more than 40 months now on the market.
Sales are usually best in the early half of nintendo life cycles.
So even if it has another 40 months of life in it, it might strugle to hit another 60m unit sales.
Ontop of that Nintendo themselves have been talking about a Switch 2, resently.
I know its still a few years out probably...
However I suspect Switch will be replaced before it has a chance to reach PS4 sales numbers.
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PS4 / NSW
FY1 7.50mil / 2.74mil
FY2 14.80mil / 15.05mil
FY3 17.70mil / 16.95mil
FY4 20.00mil / 21.03mil
Tot: 60mil vs 55.77mil (Ps4 had an extra 4months)
FY5 19.00mil /
FY6 17.80mil /
FY7 13.60mil
Tot: 110mil
Lifetime: ?125mil?
And NSW is going to be very high this FY and probably next, but I don’t get why people don’t see it and if they do then I don’t understand why they think sales will fall off a cliff?
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Did you miss the point I was makeing?
Im claiming nintendo consoles always have a great first half of their life cycle.
Your trying to prove the Switch will have a better 2nd half, by useing the 1st half of the PS4 vs the Switch?
But ignoreing the fact that I'm talking about the 2nd half.
Where is the logic in that?
Im not saying its gonna drop off a cliff. So dont start with that please, im not one of those whos climed it will.
I'm saying usually, thats how things go with nintendo, they slow down in the 2nd half of their life cycles (3-4years into it, sales start to slow).
Is that not actually true?
I just dont think it will last long enough.
I think in 2022 or 2023, it is replaced with a Switch 2.
At which point, it wont catch up to the PS4.
Last edited by JRPGfan - on 14 July 2020
