| Louie said: This thread is full of the typical stereotypes: "Sony consoles sell well for a longer time." "Nintendo console sales fall off a cliff." "All of Nintendo's big hitters have already launched." Basically, it's the same story that has been told since 2018, based on cherry-picked data. So here are a few facts: - The Switch is Nintendo's only system on the market and just days ago they have re-re-re-reiterated (Yes! They talk about it constantly!) that the Switch is going to have a long shelf life. How often will Nintendo have to repeat this before people drop the notion that Nintendo will abandon the console prematurely? - Launches aligned, Switch sales are ahead of PS4 sales. Switch sales have continued to rise year after year, with the first half of 2020 by far being the strongest period the system has ever had. - Nintendo has not released all of their big hitters for the platform. What about Nintendogs, 2D Mario, Switch Sports, Switch Fit, a new Mario Kart, a new 2D Zelda, Tomodatchi Life, or smaller titles like Starfox, F-Zero, Pikmin, etc.? Also, sequels can sell hardware and we accept that as simple fact on other platforms. - The Switch has never had a price cut and it never had a major revision of the main model, just the Switch Lite and a boost to battery life. Long story short: The Switch is still accelerating and outpacing the PS4, has many big franchises left that can still debut on the console and won't be abandoned prematurely by Nintendo. Also, Nintendo's titles are evergreen titles and sell consoles for a long time, so there's a cumulative effect. The chances of the Switch to outsell the PS4 at this point are higher than 50%. Would I bet on it? No, Nintendo likes to make stupid mistakes. Does the Switch have a way higher sales potential than the PS4 due to it appealing to a broader audience? Absolutely. |
You may as well type this in notepad, save to desktop and have it ready to copy & paste next time this thread gets made.
| hunter_alien said: No. The PS4 will end up selling ~130 million units, and honestly, anyone who thinks that next-gen systems won't start to chip away from the Switch from next year is fooling themselves. The Switch can easily reach 120 million, but IMO it will fall short of the PS4 by ~10 million LT. The issue is that if Nintendo decides to push out the Swith for let's say 8 years as their sole system, they might remain without a viable platform for 2-3 years until the S2 grows to a sizable install base. I don't see them doing that. They will bring out a successor early 2024 the latest. |
Without a 'viable platform' for what exactly? Playing Nintendo games? I can't see a more viable platform for that on the market right now.
