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A couple of years ago I put Mario Kart 8 D in the 40m-50m range.  Now that I have to narrow my guess, I'll put it at the high end of 47.5m - 50m.

Bonus: I don't know if they will release Mario Kart 9 or not.  If I have to bet, I'd bet against it.  I think it is wiser for them to keep developing new games or at least sequels to franchises we don't have yet.  However, I understand why they might just release MK9 anyway.  As I said, I'd bet against it, but I wouldn't blame them if they had a MK9 release on the Switch.