By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
jason1637 said:
I feel like US death rates haven't increased to what it was cause people are getting hospitalized at a much lower rate than before. Hospitalizations have been increasing but right now were at mid to late May levels of hospilaztion. It would probably take April levels of hospilaztion for deaths to spike.

It can take like 2-3 weeks for people to "die" to this virus.
So thats "June 13th to June 20th",  ei the people who are dying now, are mostly from before the "spike" of infections kicked off in the USA.

Give it 2-3 weeks and numbers should climb to reflect the 50k+ cases pr day.
If 19-22k daily cases from 2-3 weeks ago gives 600-700 deaths today.
Then 50k+ daily cases should in 2-3 weeks give 1400-1600 deaths pr day at some point.

The only positive is their saying that more of the confirmed cases are a younger demographics.
So maybe it doesn't rise nearly as much as that. It depends on when the younger gen, pass it onto their parents/grand parents.


"I feel like US death rates haven't increased to what it was"

Thats because daily cases used to be 40-45k at its peak in the USA.
Also back then, they didnt have any medicines to give, or know how to treat the virus. So naturally the people dieing was higher.

The deaths today (due to covid19) are from weeks ago, from before the effects of ending lockdowns resulted in spread increasing.
Thats why we say "death lags".

This virus doesnt kill you instantly.
Its not like  you go get tested, find out you have it, and instantly die.
Its a slow process, of you loseing a drawn out battle to it, potentially lasting like 3 weeks.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 04 July 2020