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Shiken said:
It is a free to play game on Switch that heavily resembles Splatoon.

Its success was determined the minute they revealed the game TBH.

No game's success is guaranteed, even if it resembles a Nintendo game, and even if it's on Switch. 

However, I would still like to bring up that this doesn't guarantee success really, since games like these require a long term stable fanbase to keep making profit.