If we think power isn't essential to Nintendo, its even more reason to move away from hard restarts unless they have a unique concept which is demanding of a hard reset.
Nintendo have never had problems selling premium versions of their hardware late in a gen, the only difference now is that late gen updates carry them further into the future and will usher in way more software support and prolonged income. In the past a soft transition wouldn't make sense, this would have resulted in Nintendo creating 2 games per platform (DS/3DS) either forcibly killing an old platform or preventing a new one being effectively utilised. Instead in this age , they could easily scale games and graphical leaps are increasingly incremental. Again so why wait until the financial dip that would come with waiting until 2024/5?
You seem to be ignoring my biggest statement about hard resets. They inject new life into the companies when sales start to dip. When hardware and software sales aren't what they used to be, the hard reset comes in to change the entire narrative. That's what XSeX and PS5 are doing regardless of supporting Xbone or not. The point of a hard reset isn't the graphics boost or the new innovation, it's the sales boost that software and hardware receive when they slow down immensely.
Other than DS lite, there has never been a dramatic shift in sales from a soft upgrade. Not in software or hardware and certainly not in the number of 3rs party support. The games won't increase for the switch just because there's a powerful version put there. The only way more games will come is if 3rd parties sell like crazy on the switch. Ninty needs to prove it can sell 3rd party games like crazy and the barrier is bigger than it is for the rest who automatically get them. But when they start to sell 3rd party games, more come like even EA has 7 games for it now and the switch has a mindboggling amount of games already. More than 1200 I believe or at least more than 1000. Granted a lot are cheap cashgrabs.
But hardware power will not get Nintendo more third party, more sales will and for that, prolonging the life of the switch is actually more beneficial because if Ninty releases a switch 2, third parties will look at the strong brand of the switch and how much it sold and want to jump on it early which will of course create positive marketing and more sales and games will come. I personally believe that will bring more 3rd parties in than an early increase because the switch will be a hardcore gamer success unlike the Wii which was a fad.
Also, the fact that the more they wait, the more power they can pack into the thing and the closer they can be to the ps6 and neXtbox, whatever they may be. Add in that mobile chip tech right now is developing really fast and quickly approaching non mobile chip tech in many avenues and waiting might be the best thing for power, games and marketing.
I do think Ninty will release a pro version plus even a cheap TV only version that maybe has the pro chip and sell it for $200. Ninty can do a lot before it gets the real hard reset. And guess what they can still say that they will support the switch pro version for 2 years like Microsoft and it won't matter because the real hype and marketing will be around the new model. All they need is backwards support and people will eat it like cake.
I personally would love a chain approach where they keep supporting 2 versions at the same time and replace the oldest supported version with a new one every 4 years so your version can last for 8 years if you want but I don't think that will net them the right amount of profits and sales. We'll see what Ninty does but looking at what we have right now, I see no evidence of that approach and all I see is at least 2024 spring.
Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also