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Nintendo is swimming alone in its blue ocean. has no reason to rush.
For now, is to observe the market. The success (or failure) of xcloud, observe the prices for an SSD, new architectures for mobile, smaller transistors, or even newer technologies that even ps5 and series x do not have.
I can see happening anytime between 23 and 25.
My vote went to 24 launch, using 22/23 technology.