| shikamaru317 said: I think we're going to see Switch 2 sooner than many seem to think. I will be shocked if Switch 2 isn't out by Spring 2023 personally. Next gen is coming soon and PS4/XB1 support will be dropped from 90% of games by Q2 2022. While it is affordable for a PS4/XB1 game to be downgraded to run on Switch, the downgrades required to get next-gen games to run on Switch will be far more extensive and costly. And I can't see Nintendo allowing 3rd party support to mostly disappear from 2022-2025, 3 whole years, lol, they know from past generations that 3rd party support is essential for success, 1st/2nd party and indies can only move but so many units before sales dry up. By Q1 2023 a Switch 2 with significantly better specs will be possible for $300-350, specs that aren't too much lower than the rumored 4 tflop Xbox Lockhart, which should make getting next-gen 3rd party support even easier for Nintendo to get than current gen 3rd party support on Switch 1. I absolutely expect Nintendo to take advantage of that. |
I think you are not understanding truly why Wii U failed where the switch succeeded and severely underestimating the switch. The switch will continue to sell with or without big third party support. And support will still come because of the sales it has and the fact that it will have unreal engine 5. The really advanced 3rd party games aren't necessary for the switch's success or any Ninty console's success. Plus the tone of the console is set in the first 2 years and it;s really hard to shake that. If it's poor, turning it around requires a lot of effort and if it's really good, you have to screw up royally to make things go bad. Spring 2023 is the earliest, not the latest. Spring 2024 is the most reasonable and there's a possibility of spring 2025. People forget that the longer Ninty waits, the more advanced the switch 2 can be based on a reasonable price.
So your assumption is that in 2023, it will be a big weaker than Lockhart. What if I'm 2024, it's a bit stronger and in 2025, it's much closer to XSeX than Lockhart. The switch will continue to sell so why wouldn't they just delay it a bit and make ,ore profit from it. They still haven't released a pro model that will extend the lifetime of the console even more. Or even made one price cut to the OG console.
Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also
