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This is a complete crapshoot right now. It’s possible Nintendo could stick with the Switch well past 2023, in which case the 10m sellers will surely hit over 20. We already have 11-12 that are currently out, one announced game that’s a lock (botw2), and two announced that are possible (snap and paper mario). Honestly, 20 seems like a lock even if they abandon the console as early as 2022. We know there will be at least a couple more Mario games released that will do it, at least one more mainline Pokémon if not 2, and likely at least a couple more casual aimed games to do it. I also wouldn’t count out Prime 4 to pull a botw for the franchise if it delivers. If Nintendo stays with Switch as long as I think, I think 30 10m+ are possible.

Last edited by HyrulianScrolls - on 27 June 2020