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archbrix on 27 June 2020
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Otter said:
archbrix said:

You should have added 2021 to the poll just to see how far the madness would go.

The 3DS was succeeded in 6 years. People suggesting that Switch's successor will arrive in 2022 means that it would be succeeded in 5 years. Considering that Switch will be close to 3DS' lifetime sales on its fourth birthday, it's safe to say that Switch is performing quite a bit better than the 3DS.

It is inconceivable that Switch 2 is arriving anytime before 2024.

The 3DS was dropped like a rock, it was completely replaced. 

Obviously anyone saying 2022 Switch 2 has very different ideas about how Switch 2 will function within the market. As we can see looking at the launch of Series X, all of its first party games will also be playable on Xbox One. No one is expecting the Switch to be replaced in 2022. 

First off, no, 3DS wasn't dropped like a rock, but for the sake of argument... so what?  The point is that it was Nintendo's money maker, didn't live up to their expectations and it still got six years of life and dev support before their next console.  Switch's life before its successor won't be shorter than the 3DS.

Second, if you think that "No one is expecting the Switch to be replaced in 2022" then you haven't been paying attention.  There are plenty of people who erroneously believe that Nintendo will release a new, more powerful Switch to combat the arrival of the new consoles.  Will there be a redesign of the current Switch?  Inevitably.  But will there be an all new console that supports an all new library?  Not any time soon.  And yes, when Switch 2 does arrive it will be backwards compatible just like Series X/One, obviously.