Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread

[gergroy]

NobleTeam360 said:

newwil7l said:

I agree that Georgia and Texas in particular won't turn blue this election regardless of what happens, they will, however, continue to get bluer compared to where they were previously and i can see Trump winning them by relatively small margins of 3% aa both states were the bluest they had been in years in 2016, and i don't see that trend stopping. 2024 is the year they could truly become battleground zones. 

The red state I seeing being flipped this year is Arizona and I'm surprised more people aren't talking about that.

Yeah, I was tempted to mention Arizona in my original post, but shied away from posting it as I'm not too confident in it flipping blue but I can say that I wouldn't be surprised to see it do so. 

The Southwest seems to be slowly flipping blue.  New Mexico, Colorado, and Nevada used to be battlegrounds, now they seem mostly blue.  Arizona has been pink for a while and now seems fully battleground.  I think Texas is in the pink phase still, but within the next 10 years it will be a battleground as well, unless there is a big shift in the parties.

Even Utah was a battleground last election and the last poll from this election only had trump ahead by one point.  However, I think that is more about trumps problems with Mormons than the state actually shifting.