I originally predicted 4.1-5mil, but I’m no longer sure. Only thing I’m judging by is the Amazon US bestsellers hourly chart. I didn’t see TLoUp2 move to #1 a single time in the last week; highest I saw it was #3 or 4. The two games I compare it to are HZD and God of War. Both of those reached the #1 spot around 2-3wk from release iirc. That fact was actually the primary reason I predicted before HZD’s launch that it could reach 10mil in lifetime sales.
Anywho, everything else about TLoUp2 (TLoU’s sales, the hype, etc.) makes me think it’s going to destroy all other PS games’ launch week records and sell 15mil+ LT—except for the Amazon US charts. Is it possible that the spoilers really did negatively impact people’s purchase decision for TLoUp2? I feel like, relatively speaking, a small percentage of people planning to buy TLoUp2 ultimately saw the spoilers. I didn’t, but my friend did, and he said he isn’t planning to buy or play TLoUp2 anytime soon. Or maybe the TLoU was so popular that a higher percentage of people preordered it far in advance compared to HZD/God of War? Or maybe it will have a smaller than expected launch due to spoilers/controversy, but then word of mouth will give it very long legs. Either way, can’t wait to get launch week sales! Oh, and also to play the game tonight after work. :)
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