Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[numberwang]

crissindahouse said:

numberwang said:

Doubtful number considering that anyone who dies with the coronavirus (regardless of symptoms) is counted as having died from it. I will take more time to analyze total death numbers (many of them caused by the lockdowns) compared to previous years to get a better estimation of "surplus death".

There might be some counted as Covid-19 deaths which died from something else but you have way more people who died from it but didn't get counted in these numbers. If it's old people in nursing homes which just don't get counted or way too many countries not counting properly at all (because they just can't do it better or because they just fake numbers to let it look better as it is).

To believe that the real numbers are lower as 400k right now is pretty optimistic. 

I doubt that. Covid19 resembles a slow and prolonged severe pneumonia with visible symptoms and I don't see how patients in first world countries could have not been tested. Third world countries don't have the demographics of +75years olds with multiple underlying diseases.