| JRPGfan said: No one is gonna mention that in brazil, that tested around 1million people, and have found 742,000+ confirmed cases? Brazil is basically only testing people with heavy symptoms of covid19. |
Brazil is messing with all the numbers, reported deaths, baseline death rate, hospitalizations and reported cases.
For example:
https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/06/brazil-pulls-all-coronavirus-stats-then-releases-incompatible-numbers/
https://www.thestar.com/news/world/2020/06/07/brazils-covid-19-data-blackout-is-a-tragedy-ex-health-chief-says.html
The imperial college tried to map Brazil's progression early May but also already state the difficulty in tracking their numbers back then
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-05-08-COVID19-Report-21.pdf
Worldinfometer tries to keep track and has Brazil at 38497 deaths which surely is under the real number, yet there currently is no way to get an accurate excess deaths count.
With an estimated 1% infected fatality ratio, at least 3.8 million infections 15 days ago. Their case fatality ratio atm is 10% (current deaths compared to total cases 15 days ago) The USA sits at 6.6% CFR, Italy at 14.8%, Russia (only counting pneumonia deaths with covid19 confirmed) at 1.8%.
Brazil is doing very bad, even with all the messed up (under counted / missing) numbers, they are already on top for daily reported cases and deaths. And yep their infected / tests is ridiculously high, 74% compared to Germany 4.3%.
Who knows if we'll ever find out the true death toll in Brazil.
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