vivster said:
@SvennoJ
The point of the mask is stop the range of the virus. Corona travels far even without coughing. With masks you leave the virus within your own sphere, adding distancing to it gives the virus very little room to spread. Even if it reaches another host the virus load will be a tiny fraction, leading to less severe outcomes. And add to that the high level of monitoring and the ridiculously small amount of infected people on the streets you have very few and even decreasing infections. Germany is doing extremely fine right now and there is no way it's gonna flair up even close to what the peak once was.
The only reason the infection rate got where it was was because the virus had absolute free roam for months, that's not something that will happen anytime soon. The only way for the spread to increase again is if the masks and distancing go away and that won't happen in Germany before the vaccine is widely available.
|
You sound overly confident in the average human's attention span to keep up this level of social distancing and mask use for another 18 months... That while the decline in Germany is already slowing considerably.
But true, as long as Rt is kept under 1.0, it will be fine. With 400 new cases detected each day, it's still very much active. Even though my local county was stable for a while, we're now back to a few new cases per week. Very few, yet where do they come from... How many are still flying under the radar, or does it get brought back in from hot spots.
Essay Pro