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SvennoJ on 06 June 2020
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Trumpstyle said:
John2290 said:

What makes you think there will be a decline? Look at the time it took Russia, Brazil and the like to explode. I'd imagine your success was due to people being scared at the start of this, people aren't scared anymore and you're likely to see a boom. On that note, has there beem protests in Sweden?

Yep we had protests in Stockholm and Malmö, there will be a protest tomorrow in Gothenburg our second city. The protesters are able to bypass the 50 gathering limit by just saying to the police there will will only be 50 people showing up, then several thousands shows up.

As to why I expect a decline on daily reported dead is because our new daily hospitalization seems stable or in a slight decline, add in we doing a better job protecting nursing homes I expect to see a decline.

Here's chart for daily hospitalization, it seems to be in slight decline, Totalt = is entire sweden, Västra götaland contains our second biggest city Gothenburg, Skåne third which is Malmö.

But we seeing an increase in daily cases, which is cool I guess:

Hospitalizations lag behind, but will also be fewer when better protecting nursing homes.

I'm not so sure if the increase will go back down quickly. It will go down a bit but maybe not to previous levels. That computer glitch might will have hidden a stable increase in infections. Mobility rates have gone up a bit since last time I checked.

Edit: Is see the work place and residential are cut off on the weekend, the graph tell a bit more. The numbers are week/weekend, doh.

The same for all of Sweden
https://www.gstatic.com/covid19/mobility/2020-05-29_SE_Mobility_Report_en.pdf

And the same here, hence numbers are creeping back up.


Re-opening too soon before the infections are down to a low enough level and you end up staying at the same level or increasing again.

Last edited by SvennoJ - on 06 June 2020