Global Hardware May 17 to 23

[The_Liquid_Laser]

curl-6 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Do you think the N64 and PS1 were competing?  How about the Gamecube and PS2?  I think these systems were competing.  Playstation kept gaining marketshare with each generation while Nintendo was losing it.  They were competing.  What kind of games did Nintendo make during this era?  3D Mario, 3D Zelda, Mario Kart, Smash Bros, Animal Crossing, etc....  They were making the types of games that are selling the Switch right now.

PS5 and Switch do not occupy a different market niche.  They will compete over the same gamers just like the PS1 and N64 did.  They make the same type of games and therefore appeal to the same type of gamers.  They most definitely will compete. 

The main thing that has changed is that Nintendo has a lot more advantages this time around:
1) The franchises I listed above are much more popular on Switch.
2) Switch is a better value than a traditional home console, because it can be used as either a home or handheld system.
3) Switch has a much bigger third party library compared to N64 or Gamecube.
4) Switch will always be significantly cheaper than PS5, which is a huge advantage in a recession (like the one going on now).

Nintendo is making the same types of games that it has always used to compete against Playstation.  That is why it will compete against the PS5.  The main difference is that Nintendo is much more prepared for this contest, and that is why the Switch will prevail against the PS5.  Same competition.  Different victor.

Again, you're trying to force Switch into the paradigm of past generations which it just doesn't fit due to its hybrid nature.

PS5 will fill the same market role as the PS4, so if Switch didn't directly compete against 4, there's zero reason for it to suddenly compete against 5.

Let me put it this way; no system with a direct competitor as successful as the Switch has ever sold better than the PSP. (And even then its questionable just how directly PSP and DS competed) How much do you expect PS5 to sell, lifetime?

The Switch doesn't directly compete against the PS4, because the Wii U directly competed against the PS4.  The Switch and the PS5 are both the respective successors. 

How much do I expect PS5 to sell?  There is still more info I need, because I need to know the marketshare split between PS5 and Series X.  Neither console has even been revealed yet so that is impossible to tell.  Switch is taking away sales from both systems.  I also need to know when the Switch will peak, and that also has yet to be determined.  Giving a very rough approximation though, I'd say PS5 + Series X combined will sell about 100m +/- 30m.