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Zero_Revolution said:
Pyro as Bill said:

Wii cliff.

It seems very unlikely that sales will fall off so much and so suddenly in this case, but even if it did have a "Wii cliff," that would still put it at over 90m lifetime. Regardless, it's on track to sell that next 22m by 2021 so really there is no argument for that option.

Wii cliff: Nintendo Wii expanded market last game is Donkey Kong Returns in 2010. Thirds party only remains Ubisoft`s Just Dance with the last thrids big seller. Nintendo needs to focus on developing the next big portable, 3DS. Nintendo has three big games failed: Wii Music, Metroid Other M, and Skyward Sword. Also, Nintendo reluctant to bring three RPG games may help the Dry: Xenoblade, Last Story, Pandora Tower. Nintendo doesn't make localization Dragon Quest X. Wii's last fuel in Japan, a great piece of thrids focus in Ps3, PSP, and DS.  Nintendo supports Wii and DS at same time, development 3ds. Macroeconomics trends downhill.

Switch cliff: only macroeconomics trends are equal. Nintendo needs make to many missteps to simulate Wii Cliff. a new portable and new stationary console in development at same time? Only Wiiu ports now?