Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Trumpstyle]

Mummelmann said:

https://www.dn.se/nyheter/sverige/fler-doda-i-covid-19-doljs-i-statistiken/

From March 23rd and up to May 3rd, approx. 1000 unaccounted for deaths beyond regular mortality rates, it's not likely that all 1000 are directly linked to Covid-19 but a significant portion would be (even only half would mean a margin of error well beyond 10%). One of the most significant statistical trends though is the very slow downward slope of Swedish deaths per capita compared to the rest of Europe, and indeed most of the world. And even countries that simply don't do anything at all (Brazil, for instance) have lower deaths per capita in the past few weeks total.

As with poor economic growth, where Sweden celebrated when they corrected analysts statistics on OECD stats, and it turned out they were only the third-worst in all of OECD in GDP  growth per capita and not the worst, they seem to be falling back on the fact that 2-3 tiny states with an immensely different population per square kilometer and a few other countries whose famous dallying cost tens of thousands of lives are still a little bit worse in total figures. These disaster-struck regions have now reduced their daily fatalities enormously, going from north of 1000 per day and down to mere double digits or even less, while Swedish numbers are still at around 1/3 of peak numbers or above, many weeks after said peak. Only in Sweden would this be considered a success or signs or proper progress. To make matters worse, regions outside Stockholm seem to be having an increase. Meanwhile, Iceland, Denmark, Norway, and Finland's combined weekly deaths are well below that of a single day in Sweden.

Even smug journalists who were brandishing the Swedish genius and dubbing Europe alarmist victims of mass hysteria have now turned one after one and more and more chronicles are focusing on the obvious faults and flaws in the strategy as well as the incredibly anemic leadership throughout the pandemic.

As for excess death, there's appears to be 2 different numbers coming from our government, one from SCB and the other one from Folkhälsomyndigheten. My wikipedia source is from SCB, I'm not sure how they manage to get different numbers.

As for GDP growth, everything is just forecasts atm. Our own government estimate -4-10% gdp but most likely land in the middle and a budget deficit of -5-6%. I saw news that our big bank Nordea expect -6% gdp this year and +5% next year. This are justs forecasts and we won't be able to compare to different countries intill next year.

You seems to be a downer, you should w8 atleast 1 year before being a downer on our strat.

Edit: Another swede haft to confirm this, but from what I gathered, SCB just compares excess death to last year while folkhälsomyndigheten are doing an estimate of excess deaths, that's why they get different numbers.

Last edited by Trumpstyle - on 31 May 2020