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JRPGfan on 28 May 2020
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Azhraell said:

Brazil numbers are such a question mark for me, already top 2 in cases while being one of the countries with less tests in the top 20. All this while having around 210(?) million people. I sure hope it's actually them containing it well but after listening to bolsonaro and having 3 different health ministers in short time feels like their numbers are not even close to reality.

The differnce is most other places the outbreak isn't as bad.
Brazil tested 870,000 people, confirmed cases over 414,000.
~48% of the people the test, have the virus.

Now imagine if they tested as much as other countries do?  (Brazil test pr 1m people = ~4100, other countries its 50,000-100,000)
(pretty sure they would have alot more cases confirmed, than the USA does)

Basically Brazil isnt doing anything to try and stop the spread, so its just everywhere.
I wouldnt be surprised if actually like 1/7 of brazil was infected (~15%).

Deaths is probably also massively under reported in brazil.
(Again I wouldnt be surprised, if actual deaths to covid were like 5-10 times their reported numbers.
Brazil probably only counts people tested as confirmed covid19 deaths, however because of poor testing,
tons of others will probably never get counted. The proof will be in the records of pneumonia + blood clot/heart attacks, deaths registered during this time, which they will be labled as instead

Why is it like this?

The chart SvennoJ posted illustrates it pretty well.


USA is the green graph line, named "the hammer", and is like halfways through that phase.
However instead of surpressing the virus, they choose to give up. Gotta save the economy right?

Brazil is the black graph line, named "Do nothing", and is just riseing and will keep doing so, until they reach herd immunite (~70%+ infections).
We cant afford to ruin our economy, so we ll just ignore this virus... and maybe fix numbers abit, so it doesnt look as horrible.
(is this way better for the economy? whos to say, its sure to kill alot more of your people though)

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 28 May 2020